Could the Jordan drone strike be pulling the US into yet another conflict in the Middle East?

Could the Jordan drone strike be pulling the US into yet another conflict in the Middle East?

On January 28, an Islamic Resistance group in Iraq claimed responsibility for a drone attack that targeted a US military base in Jordan, resulting in the death of three US military personnel and injuries to 34 others. This attack is part of an ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran-affiliated Iraqi Shia militias that has been ongoing for more than five years. While the media coverage has mentioned that these militias have launched 165 attacks on US troops since October 2023, it is important to note that the conflict started much earlier, and the total number of attacks is much higher.

The attacks have typically been low-intensity and carefully managed, with the intention of harassing American forces rather than causing a high number of casualties. The US defense systems and drone arsenal have been effective in intercepting and destroying most of the projectiles fired by the militias. However, in December 2019, a militia attack resulted in the death of an American citizen working as a translator for the US military, escalating tensions.

The recent drone attack in Jordan has raised concerns of further escalation and the possibility of the US being pulled into another conflict in the Middle East. While President Joe Biden is expected to respond cautiously, it is an election year, and the administration faces domestic pressures. Republicans have already called for direct targeting of Iran, and even bombing Tehran. Former President Donald Trump, who may run against Biden in the upcoming election, has blamed the attack on Biden’s perceived weakness.

It is worth noting that Iran is likely to avoid being pulled into a direct conflict with the US at this time, as its regional alliance known as the “Axis of Resistance” is growing in strength and influence. The Iranian-backed Hamas attack on Israel and the subsequent Israeli assault on Gaza have further strengthened this alliance. Iran has discouraged its proxies from taking actions that could lead to an all-out direct war with the US, as it prefers a carefully managed low-intensity proxy conflict.

The current situation in the region poses a real risk of escalation in the proxy war between Iran and the US, which could have severe consequences for an already volatile region. The threat of escalation, however, is primarily coming from the US administration, which risks overreacting to the


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